Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull said in a March 12 tweet that President Donald Trump gave a commitment that Australian steel and aluminum will not be subject to tariffs. The path to get an exemption for the European Union, however, looks rocky. Trump tweeted on March 10: "The European Union, wonderful countries who treat the U.S. very badly on trade, are complaining about the tariffs on Steel & Aluminum. If they drop their horrific barriers & tariffs on U.S. products going in, we will likewise drop ours. Big Deficit. If not, we Tax Cars etc. FAIR!"
Section 232 Tariffs
The United States currently maintains a 25% tariff on steel imports and 10% on tariff on aluminum imports under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. In 2018, the Trump administration imposed Section 232 Tariffs on steel and aluminum imports into the United States, citing national security concerns. The U.S. agreed to lift tariffs on Canada and Mexico after the signing of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), and reached deals with the European Union, Japan and other countries to replace the tariffs with quotas for steel and aluminum imports into the U.S.
President Donald Trump announced that tariffs of 25 percent on steel and 10 percent on aluminum will take effect on March 23, but the tariffs are not going to be as global as he suggested a week ago. Canada and Mexico's exports will not be subject to the tariffs while NAFTA negotiations continue, Trump said, and assuming the U.S. can get a deal "that's fair for our workers, fair for our farmers -- we love our farmers -- fair for our manufacturers," then those countries will be exempted permanently. "I have a feeling we're going to make a deal on NAFTA," he said during a March 8 signing ceremony.
White House Press Secretary Sarah Sanders said that Mexico, Canada and other countries may avoid the soon-to-be-announced tariffs on steel and aluminum. "There are potential carve-outs for Mexico and Canada based on national security, and possibly other countries as well based on that process," she said during a March 7 press briefing. President Donald Trump is still expected to "sign something by the end of the week," she said.
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell broke his silence on steel and aluminum tariffs, which have sparked strong reactions from Republicans in both chambers since the surprise announcement last week (see 1803010029). "There is a lot of concern among Republican senators that this could metastasize into a larger trade war, and many of our members are discussing with the administration just how broad, how sweeping this might be," he said at a news conference March 6. He noted that President Donald Trump has suggested an exemption for Canada and Mexico might be tied to concessions in NAFTA renegotiations. "From a Kentucky point of view, NAFTA's been a big one, we've benefited from it in every way," the senator from Kentucky added. McConnell said that if the tariffs create disruption, "it could send our economy in the wrong direction."
International Trade Today is providing readers with some of the top stories for Feb. 26 - March 2 in case they were missed.
Canada's Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland and Mexico's Economy Secretary Ildefonso Guajardo expressed optimism that their countries and the U.S. will be able to reach an agreement that can be sold to the public in all three countries, while U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer sounded a more cautionary note at a joint press conference at the end of the seventh round of negotiations in Mexico City. "I fear the longer we proceed the more political headwinds we will feel," Lighthizer said March 5.
President Donald Trump tweeted March 5 that he won't exempt Mexico and Canada from steel and aluminum tariffs unless the U.S. gets its way at the NAFTA negotiating table. The tweets came on the last day of round 7 of the NAFTA talks. "NAFTA, which is under renegotiation right now, has been a bad deal for U.S.A. Massive relocation of companies & jobs. Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum will only come off if new & fair NAFTA agreement is signed. Also, Canada must treat our farmers much better. Highly restrictive. Mexico must do much more on stopping drugs from pouring into the U.S. They have not done what needs to be done. Millions of people addicted and dying," Trump wrote.
Following President Trump's signaling of across the board tariffs on imported steel and aluminum (see 1803010029), exactly how Canadian steel fits in is among the major unanswered questions. Canada said in a March 1 statement that "as the number one customer of American steel, Canada would view any trade restrictions on Canadian steel and aluminum as absolutely unacceptable." The Defense Department has also said Canadian steel should not face Section 232 tariffs (see 1802230018).
Withdrawing from the Trans-Pacific Partnership was bad enough, but what could come this year could be far worse, trade scholars said during a Brookings Institution panel reviewing "Trump's Trade Policy in Asia" on Feb. 28. Because President Donald Trump exited the TPP on the third day of his administration, the United States will not be able to lower barriers to beef or pork exports to Japan, and other countries that stayed in the agreement, such as Canada, will move into the gap, said Jeff Schott, a senior fellow on international trade policy at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
After a visit at the White House, House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady, R-Texas, told reporters at the Capitol that he told the president that the next step after tax reform is expanding export opportunities. "NAFTA was a good part of our discussions," he said Feb. 26. "I think there's potential major wins for President [Donald] Trump in NAFTA." Brady pointed to improvements in customs, digital trade, intellectual property and agriculture.